Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.595257 1.677781 1.762989 1.857708 1.960256 2.068147 2.190527
2026-02-01 1.419622 1.534780 1.658745 1.802780 1.966386 2.147458 2.364438
2026-02-08 1.284669 1.416828 1.563502 1.739682 1.947341 2.186603 2.486513
2026-02-15 1.197263 1.341799 1.506242 1.709285 1.956236 2.250877 2.635343
2026-02-22 1.138460 1.293585 1.473906 1.702016 1.987361 2.338854 2.815113
2026-03-01 1.081663 1.242975 1.433836 1.680220 1.995871 2.395589 2.955552
2026-03-08 1.013527 1.174403 1.367261 1.620041 1.949815 2.376420 2.989927
2026-03-15 0.977768 1.143249 1.344491 1.612721 1.969811 2.443038 3.144465
2026-03-22 0.968885 1.144498 1.361571 1.656540 2.058614 2.606915 3.449877
2026-03-29 0.943239 1.123049 1.348148 1.658700 2.090057 2.692072 3.645997
2026-04-05 0.923192 1.107636 1.341406 1.668769 2.132065 2.793928 3.875753
2026-04-12 0.898884 1.085545 1.324640 1.663805 2.151710 2.863283 4.059363
2026-04-19 0.867054 1.054149 1.296424 1.644732 2.154452 2.914340 4.230876
2026-04-26 0.832248 1.017825 1.260458 1.613466 2.138092 2.936008 4.357788
2026-05-03 0.793542 0.974954 1.213930 1.564890 2.092881 2.908879 4.396450
2026-05-10 0.765970 0.946061 1.185362 1.540642 2.082824 2.936775 4.536794
2026-05-17 0.746617 0.927542 1.170265 1.535020 2.100677 3.011014 4.771720
2026-05-24 0.724324 0.904173 1.147372 1.516546 2.096835 3.047984 4.938880
2026-05-31 0.692673 0.866943 1.103630 1.464929 2.037122 2.984697 4.898173
2026-06-07 0.677117 0.851554 1.090363 1.458656 2.050080 3.048467 5.125010
2026-06-14 0.675920 0.856063 1.105596 1.496331 2.137004 3.250568 5.675743
2026-06-21 0.664125 0.845197 1.098053 1.498189 2.163925 3.345325 6.005942
2026-06-28 0.654903 0.837658 1.095023 1.506834 2.202674 3.465318 6.415320